Huracan vs Defensa y Justicia
Competition: Argentina Superliga
Date: 4 December 2018
Kick-off: 01:30 CET
If you think Boca Juniors and River Plate exchanged harsh words this past week because of what happened close to Monumental before the scheduled return leg of the Copa Libertadores final, be assured that at least similar harsh language, if not even harsher, was used by Huracán officials, not against San Lorenzo, but against AFA and the Superliga. El Globo was scheduled to visit San Lorenzo last weekend, on Sunday, but that derby got postponed because the Copa Libertadores final got pushed backed, from Saturday to Sunday. Huracán said they had assurances by ministries and the police that they could play, safety was guaranteed, but the country’s FA insisted on “no”. Huracán wanted to play the game even on Monday or Tuesday, but AFA kept rejecting their request, claiming that with the G20 summit right around the corner, they couldn’t take the risk(!). Especially Gustavo Alfaro, Huracán’s coach, has looked so… disgusted in his last two Press conferences, that it felt like he could punch an AFA official if he had him in front of him… Three weeks ago, in their last game, Huracán beat Godoy Cruz 2-1 at home, their seventh win in their last eight matches(!). They are fourth in the table, on 23 points from 11 matches (they have two in hand, not just one).
I have been praising Defensa y Justicia for weeks now, more like a few months, but truth is, last Monday, they left me with… doubts, despite beating Tigre 2-1 at home. They took the lead just five minutes into the game, but instead of keeping going, they showed a lamentable mentality, looking practically indifferent in scoring a second goal, no matter if they were hosting one of the weakest teams in the league. They got equalized, and yes, they did win 2-1, but only after Tigre were left with 10 men. Actually, Tigre lost a second player to another red card, right after Defensa’s second goal. Sebastián Beccacece, Defensa’s coach, was obviously… pissed off in most of the game, as if the players were doing things not planned. They are third in the Superliga table, on 26 points from 12 matches, the only undefeated team in the league, with half the season already gone.
Previous five matches:
Huracan vs Godoy Cruz 2-1
Lanus vs Huracan 0-1
Huracan vs Colon 3-2
Independiente vs Huracan 3-1
Belgrano vs Huracan 0-1
Defensa y Justicia vs Tigre 2-1
Defensa y Justicia vs Estudiantes 1-1
Newell’s Old Boys vs Defensa y Justicia 0-0
Defensa y Justicia vs Velez Sarsfield 3-2
Defensa y Justicia vs Junior 3-1
Huracán are visiting Gimnasia La Plata next weekend. Defensa will be hosting Colón (both Superliga matches).
Huracan vs Defensa y Justicia: Head to head Stats
One win for Huracán, two for Defensa, and two draws, in the last five games between these two at Ducó.
Huracan vs Defensa y Justicia: Prediction
Extremely interesting game, between two top-4 teams that have been playing some of the best football in the country these last months. Defensa are considered slight favorites to win, but I don’t see that.
Huracan vs Defensa y Justicia: Betting Tips
Huracán’s win in “draw no bet” is at 1.90 (with their double chance low, at 1.44). “Both teams to score” is at 2.10, which I like a lot, despite the fact that both teams concede less than one goal per game. Both create a lot of chances, and at 2.10, expecting goals from both sides in this match is a risk I consider worth-taking.