Independiente Santa Fe vs Fuerza Amarilla
Competition: Copa Sudamericana
Date: 26 July 2017
Kick-off: 02:45 CET
Santa Fe didn’t manage to win the first leg in Ecuador despite taking the lead very early, but even that 1-1 has put them in the driver’s seat in this tie, and all they need to do at home now is to… deliver the absolute minimum, protect that advantage they earned in Ecuador, and qualify for the last 16 of the competition. When Santa Fe traveled to Fuerza Amarilla a month ago, they hadn’t played an official match in four weeks. The new season though in Colombia started on July 9, and the Bogota side have been impressive in their first four games, winning all four, and keeping as many clean sheets. They kept another clean sheet in their Copa Colombia goalless draw against La Equidad. This alone, the five clean sheets in five matches since July 9, should be… worrying Fuerza Amarilla, who simply must score in Bogota.
If this Fuerza Amarilla manages to eliminate Santa Fe with the return leg in Bogota, after a 1-1 draw in the first game in Ecuador, then… movies could be shot in the future, to immortalize the once in a lifetime miracle the modest Ecuadorian side will have performed. Fuerza Amarilla finished the first phase of Ecuador’s championship picking up one point in two games after that 1-1 against Santa Fe. Their final position, 11th among 12 participants, needs no further comment. After a very short break, the second phase started, and the team have… picked up from where they left at the end of the first phase. Two defeats in two games. The fact that it was against Delfin and Barcelona, the first and second of the first half of the season respectively, doesn’t make Fuerza Amarilla look any better. Feeling that something had to be done, the board of directors decided to change the coach. On Sunday, Argentine Reinaldo Merlo took over, hoping to… shake things up, and get the team back on their feet as soon as possible.
Independiente Santa Fe vs Fuerza Amarilla: Head-to-head Stats
The 1-1 draw in Ecuador a month ago was the first game ever between these two.
Independiente Santa Fe vs Fuerza Amarilla: Prediction
Santa Fe are considered huge favorites to win and qualify, and I can’t help but agree with that. The difference in the quality between the two teams is striking, and it would be a real shock if the visitors did the… unthinkable in this game.
Independiente Santa Fe vs Fuerza Amarilla: Tips
A simple Santa Fe win doesn’t pay more than 1.40. To make their victory more tempting, betting-wise, I would combine it with a clean sheet, looking at how rock solid their defense has been in all five official games these last two and a half weeks.