Independiente vs Aldosivi
Competition: Argentina Superliga
Date: 10 March 2019
Kick-off: 23:20 CET
After back-to-back negative results in the Superliga, Independiente needed to… really enjoy a game, celebrate a victory, preferably a comfortable one, and that’s exactly what they did on Wednesday, when they faced lowly Atlas in the Copa Argentina. Two-goal lead at halftime, 4-0 final score, with youngster Mauro Molina scoring one of the four goals, his first with El Rojo’s first team. The game had bad news as well, though. Molina finished the game with a minor injury problem, and is not expected to play against Aldosivi. The other striker, Silvio Romero, is also injured. According to reports, coach Ariel Holan is planning on using Martín Benítez as a “false nine”, given that he has… run out of “pure” strikers. Independiente sit 11th in the table, on 29 points from 21 games.
Aldosivi had kept four clean sheets in a row before hosting Defensa y Justicia last weekend, it looked like they would make it “five in a row”, but Defensa scored in the 80th minute, and that Rojas goal proved enough to earn his team all three points (0-1). Just like Independiente, the Mar del Plata side are on 29 points from 21 games. The difference is that if they earn a Copa Sudamericana ticket, they will be over the moon, while Independiente’s stature is such that only a Copa Libertadores ticket would make a season feel sort of successful. Aldosivi have stayed undefeated in their last four away games, three of which were goalless draws. Also, they beat Argentinos Juniors 1-2.
Previous five matches:
Independiente vs Atlas 4-0
Gimnasia La Plata vs Independiente 1-0
Independiente vs Racing Club 1-3
San Martin San Juan vs Independiente 1-1
Independiente vs Union Santa Fe 2-1
Aldosivi vs Defensa y Justicia 0-1
Aldosivi vs Gimnasia La Plata 0-0
Patronato vs Aldosivi 0-0
Aldosivi vs San Martin San Juan 1-0
Rosario Central vs Aldosivi 0-0
Independiente are visiting River Plate next weekend. Aldosivi will be hosting Colón (both Superliga matches).
Independiente vs Aldosivi: Head to head Stats
Independiente haven’t hosted Aldosivi since 2013. That second division game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Independiente vs Aldosivi: Prediction
The hosts are considered big favorites to win, but I wouldn’t bet on that. I prefer to focus on goals, taking very seriously Aldosivi’s excellent defending record these last weeks.
Independiente vs Aldosivi: Betting Tips
Independiente’s double chance combined with “under 2.5 goals” is at 1.87. “Under 1.5” pays 2.75. I just don’t trust them to score more than once against this tough nut to break called “Aldosivi”.