Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Termalica Nieciecza
Competition: Poland Ekstraklasa
Date: 17 November 2017
Kick-off: 18:00 CET
Not for the first time this season, Jagiellonia earned much more than what their performance deserved at Wisla Plock, just before the international break. Partly, they have Kanté to thank for that. Wisla’s striker gave away an absolutely stupid penalty early in the second half, which led to Jagiellonia’s equalizer. Up until that point, the Bialystok side had created… half a chance, and were lucky to be losing just 1-0. Thankfully for them, the referee and his first assistant did their job correctly in all three cases that really mattered; in Kanté’s hand ball, in Kanté’s… pathetic dive inside Jagiellonia’s box (the referee gave a penalty first, but soon was informed that there was no penalty, and he changed his call), and in a Wisla goal later on, which was correctly disallowed as offside. Jagiellonia made it 2-1 with Romanchuk in the 74th minute, in a rare chance they created. All in all, they must feel really flattered to have left Plock with all three points. They are sitting third in the table, just three points behind leaders Gornik Zabrze.
It feels almost… surreal seeing Nieciecza staying undefeated four weeks in a row. Just before the international break, they beat Piast Gliwice at home thanks to a 94th-minute goal, earning more, I reckon, than what they really deserved. A draw would have been a much more fair result, but what matters the most at the end of the day is who gets the points, and Nieciecza got the maximum two weeks ago. It was a… weird game, without goals until the 83rd minute, when the referee used the VAR system to give Nieciecza a penalty (he had done the same earlier for Piast, but they had missed it). Nieciecza took the lead with seven minutes remaining (plus added time), but right after that they got equalized. Just as they did against Lechia Gdansk some time ago, they kept pushing for a late winner, and even in the fourth minute of added time, they got what they wanted. The eight points they have earned from their last four games have pushed them up 13th in the table.
Previous five matches:
Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-2
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Zaglebie Lubin 3-1
Arka Gdynia vs Jagiellonia Bialystok 4-1
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Lech Poznan 1-1
Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia Bialystok 0-0
Nieciecza vs Piast Gliwice 2-1
Cracovia Krakow vs Nieciecza 1-1
Pogon Szczecin vs Nieciecza 2-3
Nieciecza vs Arka Gdynia 1-1
Wisla Plock vs Nieciecza 1-0
Jagiellonia’s next game is on Friday, November 24, at Gornik Zabrze. Three days later, Nieciecza will be hosting Wisla Krakow (both Poland Ekstraklasa matches).
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Termalica Nieciecza: Head to head Stats
Two wins for Jagiellonia and one for Nieciecza in the last two years (the history between these two is very short). No game had more than two goals.
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Termalica Nieciecza: Prediction
I don’t like the 1.60 Jagiellonia’s win comes at, I feel the risk involved should be… “rewarded” with an 1.80, given Nieciecza’s good form, but this is the 3rd in the table hosting the 13th, so… on paper, that 1.60 makes sense.
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Termalica Nieciecza: Betting Tips
As previously mentioned, Jagiellonia’s win pays 1.60. ‘No’, in “both teams to score, pays 1.80, and Jagiellonia’s win combined with a clean sheet is at 2.75 betting odds. The last one may look (and be indeed) risky, keeping in mind that Nieciecza have scored four goals in their last two away matches, but first, it was against Pogon and Cracovia (not exactly the league’s best defenses), and second, I consider Jagiellonia… cynical enough to win the game in a “professional” way, meaning… 1-0, without impressing with their football.
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