Juventus vs Real Madrid
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Date: 3 April 2017
Kick-off: 20:45 CET
With three super important points at stake, Max Allegri didn’t risk rotating his squad (a lot) when Juventus hosted AC Milan on Saturday. Even with his best possible 11 (pretty much), Juve were stuck to a 1-1 draw until the 79th minute, when Juan Cuadrado made it 2-1. Sami Khedira’s goal in the 87th minute was the cherry on top, securing the Bianconeri all three points, keeping them four points ahead of second-placed Napoli. There are still several games left, eight, but that one against AC Milan was one of the toughest in Juve’s schedule until the end of the season. According to reports in Italian media, Allegri will start the game with almost exactly the same 11 (Buffon, Barzagli, Benatia, Chiellini, Alex Sandro, Pjanic, Khedira, Matuidi, Douglas Costa, Dybala, Higuaín), so it remains to be seen how they will look especially in the last 20-25 minutes, against a Real Madrid side that had the “luxury” to rest key players last weekend.
Unlike Juventus who need every single point they can get in Italy’s Serie A, with Napoli right behind them in the table, Real Madrid have… come to terms with the fact that they are not going to win the championship title in Spain this season, something that allowed Zinedine Zidane to leave several key players behind, when they traveled to Las Palmas last weekend. Compared to the first 11 in the return leg against PSG (who could be seen as Real Madrid’s core of regulars), there was no Carvajal, no Sergio Ramos, no Marcelo, no Kroos, and most of all, no Ronaldo. Isco got a rest as well, as he returned from international duty with a minor injury problem (just like Sergio Ramos. Both though are expected to be available against Juventus). Real Madrid still won the game, 0-3, with Gareth Bale being their main reference. There was some bad news as well for the Blancos though, as Nacho got injured, had to get substituted in the first half, and it’s still unclear how long he will stay sidelined. It’s the first serious injury in his career, and he couldn’t hold back some tears when he sat on the bench.
Previous five matches:
Juventus vs Milan 3-1
SPAL vs Juventus 0-0
Juventus vs Atalanta 2-0
Juventus vs Udinese 2-0
Tottenham vs Juventus 1-2
Las Palmas vs Real Madrid 0-3
Real Madrid vs Girona 6-3
Eibar vs Real Madrid 1-2
PSG vs Real Madrid 1-2
Real Madrid vs Getafe 3-1
Juventus’ next game is at Benevento, on Saturday (Italy Serie A). Real Madrid are hosting Atletico Madrid on Sunday (Spain LaLiga).
Juventus vs Real Madrid: Head to head Stats
Juventus have hosted Real Madrid eight times in the past. They have won six of those games, one ended in a draw, and Real Madrid have celebrated one victory in Italy over Juve. Last time the Bianconeri hosted Real Madrid was in 2015, in the UEFA CL semis. They beat them 2-1.
Juventus vs Real Madrid: Prediction
I underline the fact that Juventus played a super demanding game on Saturday, with more or less their best 11, while Real Madrid cruised to a victory in Gran Canaria with half their regulars back home. Regardless of how the first 65-70 minutes go, I expect Real Madrid to… take care of things in the last 20, and not just get an “ok” result (draw with goals), but actually win the game.
Juventus vs Real Madrid: Betting Tips
Real Madrid’s win pays 2.50, and is my main tip. Their double chance is at 1.44, and it’s one of those low-odd bets that I consider very-very hard to go wrong. Real Madrid’s win in “draw no bet” pays 1.80, if you are hesitant about betting on their victory and prefer to have a… safety net.