Lamia vs Kerkyra
Competition: Greece Super League
Date: 18 November 2017
Kick-off: 14:00 CET
Lamia reminded me a bit of Greece’s national team two weeks ago, in their 0-0 draw at Levadiakos. They played super defensively for 90 minutes (which was not the case in previous matches of theirs), and 20 seconds before the end of regular time, tried to “steal” the game with their only real shot on goal. Lamia left Livadia with a point, so… since it happened, someone could say they deserved it, but truth is, they were mere spectators for 89 minutes and 40 seconds, it would have been… almost frustrating if their only shot on goal had gone in, and even the point they earned is super flattering for them. What makes their poor performance in Livadia even… easier to “judge”, is that they played with an extra man for more than 30 minutes. Despite their numerical advantage after the 60th minute, they failed to create any real threat to Levadiakos’ goal, excluding maybe that shot from a distance, in the 90th minute. Lamia are sitting 10th in the table, having lost just one of their last five matches (a 4-0 embarrassment at PAOK).
If you watch the highlights of Kerkyra’s last game, the one at home against AEL Larissa just before the international break, you’ll be left with the impression that the… video was produced by someone working for Kerkyra, who considered necessary to have only Kerkyra scoring chances, and nothing about Larissa, excluding their goal. Truth is, that’s how the game went. Larissa’s double chance (something over 1.60) and draw (just under 3.00) were my two tips back then, the final 1-1 made both come good, but truth is, Kerkyra were far superior, and the final score is definitely not representative of how the 90 minutes went. Kerkyra created – but missed – about seven-eight great chances, but ironically they needed a penalty to score their only goal of the match. Minutes before that, in the first half, they had gone 1-0 down, in Larissa’s first and last real chance of the match. Kerkyra are on 10 points from as many games so far, a decent tally, keeping in mind how poorly they finished last season.
Previous five matches:
Levadiakos vs Lamia 0-0
Lamia vs Platanias 2-0
Lamia vs Kallithea 1-0
Lamia vs Panathinaikos 1-1
PAOK vs Lamia 4-0
Kerkyra vs AEL Larissa 1-1
PAS Giannina vs Kerkyra 2-1
Kerkyra vs Sparta 6-1
Kerkyra vs Panetolikos 1-0
Apollon vs Kerkyra 0-0
Lamia’s next game is on Saturday, at Apollon Smyrnis. A day later, Kerkyra will be hosting Olympiakos (both Greece Super League matches).
Lamia vs Kerkyra: Head to head Stats
Lamia have hosted Kerkyra just once before, in April 2016. That game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Lamia vs Kerkyra: Prediction
Super interesting – and challenging – game. Lamia have already beaten Panionios and Platanias at home, drawn to Panathinaikos, but Kerkyra have been… decent on the road, drawing twice, and looking very competitive against teams like PAOK and PAS Giannina, losing to both, but not without a tough fight. All things considered, I’m taking the risk to back Kerkyra, the underdogs, to leave Lamia undefeated.
Lamia vs Kerkyra: Betting Tips
Kerkyra’s double chance pays 1.72, which I prefer to Lamia’s win at 2.00 betting odds. My riskier tip is “under 1.5”, at 2.25, expecting the game to be decided by a single (Kerkyra) goal, if any.
More Greece Super League betting tips and match previews: