Lech Poznan vs Slask Wroclaw
Competition: Poland Ekstraklasa
Date: 28 February 2017
Kick-off: 20:30 CET
Lech Poznan had four goalless draws in a row(!) away from home before visiting Korona Kielce last weekend, they had seven draws and two defeats far from Poznan, and they came so close to “stealing” a point in Kielce, when they won that added-time penalty. Christian Gytkjaer could have done much better, Zlatan Alomerovic, Korona’s goalkeeper guessed correctly, and the referee ended the game right after his save, leading to big Korona celebrations for their 1-0 victory. Looking back on how the whole game went, I’m left with no doubt that Lech didn’t deserve a point. They were just poor offensively, and extremely lucky not to concede at least once in the first half. Then again, Korona’s goal was… one in a thousand (luck-wise), and Lech did miss a penalty, but I insist, the overall picture of the game didn’t justify a point for Lech, I reckon. They are third in the table, unbeaten at home, with eight wins and three draws there.
What a point Slask Wroclaw earned last weekend, hosting Gornik Zabrze. They went down less than 10 minutes into the match, spent the first half watching Gornik miss one chance after another, somehow equalised with their only real chance in the match, and their goalkeeper saved a penalty just before the end. All in all, Slask should feel extremely… grateful to Gornik for gifting them a point. As for Marcin Robak, not only he contributed nothing to their attacking game, but he also committed that penalty in the late minutes of the match. It makes you wonder what players think, knowing that the VAR system can be used to “catch” them. He sneakily used his hand to push the ball out of his box after a corner kick, but of course some camera caught it, and the referee gave the penalty after a minute or so. Slask are 10th in the table, still with chances of making it to the top-8, but… rather limited ones.
Previous five matches:
Korona Kielce vs Lech Poznan 1-0
Lech Poznan vs Pogon Szczecin 2-0
Arka Gdynia vs Lech Poznan 0-0
Lech Poznan vs Nieciecza 3-1
Zaglebie Lubin vs Lech Poznan 0-0
Slask Wroclaw vs Gornik Zabrze 1-1
Legia Warsaw vs Slask Wroclaw 4-1
Cracovia Krakow vs Slask Wroclaw 2-1
Slask Wroclaw vs Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-0
Nieciecza vs Slask Wroclaw 2-1
Lech’s next game is at Legia Warsaw, on Sunday. Slask are hosting Sandecja Nowy Sacz on Saturday (both Poland Ekstraklasa matches).
Lech Poznan vs Slask Wroclaw: Head to head Stats
Four wins for Lech and one for Slask in the last five games between these two in Poznan. Three of those five matches went over 2.5 goals.
Lech Poznan vs Slask Wroclaw: Prediction
Playing at home, I would be backing Lech to beat practically any team, but especially hosting Slask, I feel their chances of adding three points to their tally are… bigger than big.
Lech Poznan vs Slask Wroclaw: Betting Tips
Lech’s win pays just 1.40. For something much better, I would combine their win with keeping a clean sheet. Like that, it’s at 2.25 betting odds. Lech and under 2.5 goals looks very tempting to me, at 3.40, but Slask are so vulnerable defensively that even Lech can score more than twice past them, so I’m staying with that “Lech to win and keep a clean sheet”.
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