Libertad vs Cerro Porteno
Competition: Paraguay Clausura
Date: 28 July 2018
Kick-off: 23:45 CET
Given how the game went, it could have been worse for Libertad. They drew 1-1 at Deportivo Capiatá last weekend, going 1-0 down in the first half, and equalizing in the 59th minute thanks to a deflection of the ball after an Óscar Cardozo free-kick. Libertad did miss chances to score more, but it was Capiatá who missed even more, and probably better, including the one in the 86th minute, a chance that makes “incredible” look too poor to describe it. Libertad are still without a full-time coach, after sacking Aldo Bobadilla recently. They made known that they intend to take their time before choosing his successor, despite the fact that they have a trip to Buenos Aires coming up in 10 days, to face Boca Juniors in the Copa Libertadores round of 16.
Cerro Porteño dropped two points at home last weekend, versus Guaraní, and no one can say that Guaraní were lucky to avoid defeat. Cerro left a lot to be desired. It’s still unclear what will happen with the points they won against Independiente de Campo Grande, a game in which they fielded an ineligible player. Could be that instead of four points from two Clausura matches, they have just one. Good news for them is that they signed 25-year-old center-forward Jorge Benítez, a Paraguayan who left the country at 21, moving to Greece, before spending even more time at Cruz Azul and Monterrey in Mexico. Midweek, Cerro beat Cristóbal Colón 3-1 in Paraguay’s Cup, a new competition. The highlight of the game was Cristóbal Colón’s goal(!). If you haven’t seen it yet, just… stop reading this, go to youtube, and type Mario Ricardo. The guy has a serious eyesight problem (basically… he has one functioning eye), he used to sell tomatoes in the street up until a few days ago (no kidding, no exaggeration), but that goal he scored was enough to get him a contract with Sol de América!!
Previous five matches:
Deportivo Capiata vs Libertad 1-1
Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueno
General Diaz vs Libertad 0-2
Libertad vs Independiente CG 1-0
Olimpia vs Libertad 2-1
Cristóbal Colón vs Cerro Porteno 1-3
Cerro Porteno vs Guarani 1-1
Independiente CG vs Cerro Porteno 0-1
Deportivo Santani vs Cerro Porteno 1-1
Cerro Porteno vs Guarani 2-1
Libertad’s next game is on Tuesday, against Sud América (Copa Paraguay). Cerro’s next game is next Friday, at home, versus Sol de América (Paraguay Clausura).
Libertad vs Cerro Porteno: Head to head Stats
Two wins for Libertad, just one for Cerro, and two draws, in the last five games between these two with Libertad as hosts.
Libertad vs Cerro Porteno: Prediction
Keep in mind, the game is held at Defensores del Chaco, not at Nicolás Leoz, Libertad’s home. It’s common practice, so that Libertad can sell more tickets to Cerro fans, more than those they would sell if they hosted the game at their own tiny stadium. I’m backing Libertad to earn at least a draw.
Libertad vs Cerro Porteno: Betting Tips
Libertad’s win in “draw no bet” is at 1.83. Their double chance is at 1.50. If I left aside the safety net of “draw no bet”, I would make the risk of betting on Libertad’s win really worth it, going for “Libertad and over 2.5 goals”, at 4.00.