Liverpool vs Porto
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Date: 9 April 2019
Kick-off: 21:00 CET
“Liverpool to qualify” (1.85), their double chance (1.75), the same combined with “over 1.5” (2.30), and last but not least, their double chance combined with “over 2.5 goals” (3.60), were the four tips here four weeks ago, when Liverpool visited Bayern in the return leg of their round of 16 tie. Jurgen Klopp’s men delivered, triumphing 1-3. They have won all three Premier League matches since then, even a 2-1 at home over Tottenham, but truth is, lately they have not been looking as well as earlier in the season. They are leading in the Premier League, but second-placed Manchester City, on two points less, have a game in hand. Left-back Andy Robertson is out, due to that yellow card he saw late in the Munich match. James Milner is expected to play there, instead of Alberto Moreno who has been used very little this season. Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain and Joe Gomez remain unavailable, and Adam Lallana is still troubled by his latest injury. According to reports, the Reds will start the game with Alisson, Alexander-Arnold, Matip, Van Dijk, Milner, Fabinho, Henderson, Keita, Salah, Firmino and Mane.
“Both teams to score” (1.60), the same combined with “over 2.5 goals” (1.97), and last but not least, Porto’s double chance combined with “over 2.5 goals” (2.40), were the three tips here something less than a month ago, when Porto hosted Roma. They had lost 2-1 in Italy in the first leg, finished the 90 minutes back home winning 2-1 (so all tips came good), and deep into extra-time Alex Telles scored from the penalty spot to make it 3-1 and push the Dragons to the quarterfinals. On Friday they beat Boavista 2-0 at home, staying hand-in-hand with Benfica at the top of the table of Portugal’s championship (they are on 69 points each). Centre-back Pepe and central midfielder Hector Herrera are suspended, both. Porto are expected to start with Casillas, Militao, Felipe, Leite, Telles, Corona, Danilo, Otavio, Brahimi, Marega and Soares.
Previous five matches:
Southampton vs Liverpool 1-3
Liverpool vs Tottenham 2-1
Fulham vs Liverpool 1-2
Bayern Munich vs Liverpool 1-3
Liverpool vs Burnley 4-2
Porto vs Boavista 2-0
Braga vs Porto 1-1
Braga vs Porto 2-3
Porto vs Maritimo 3-0
Feirense vs Porto 1-2
Liverpool are hosting Chelsea on Sunday (Premier League). A day earlier, Porto will have visited Portimonense (Portugal championship).
Liverpool vs Porto: Head to head Stats
Liverpool have hosted Porto three times in the past; they won 2-0 in 2001, 4-1 in 2007, and drew 0-0 a year ago.
Liverpool vs Porto: Prediction
I prefer to leave Liverpool’s 1.30 aside, and bet on goals instead.
Liverpool vs Porto: Betting Tips
“Both teams to score”, at 2.05, is a bet I like in this game. Combined with “over 2.5 goals” it pays better, 2.45.