Lyon vs Hoffenheim
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Date: 7 November 2018
Kick-off: 21:00 CET
“Over 2.5 goals”, that, combined with “both teams to score”, and “over 3.5 goals” were my three tips two weeks ago when Lyon visited Hoffenheim, and all three proved… conservative, as the game had six(!) goals, a spectacular 3-3. Lyon took the lead twice, 0-1 and 2-3, but got equalized in added time. They remain the only undefeated team in the group, but are second, on five points, one less than Manchester City. They have a clear advantage over Hoffenheim and Shakhtar Donetsk though, both of which are on two points. Lopes, Rafael, Marcelo, Denayer, Mendy, Tousart, Ndombele, Fekir, Traore, Dembélé, and Depay should start. Dubois (thigh), and Gouiri (knee) are out, injured. Last weekend, Lyon drew 1-1 with Bordeaux at home. They are fourth in the Ligue 1, on 21 points from 12 matches.
Two points from three matches oblige Hoffenheim to go for a win in this match, as Lyon are their main rival in the fight for the second spot in the group. That 2-2 at home wasn’t the best result for them, but given that they were losing 2-3 when added time started, things could definitely be way worse. Szalai is ill, unavailable. Amiri, Geiger, Hübner, and Rupp, all four, trained lightly these last days, dealing with different problems. All four are doubtful. Hoffenheim are expected to start with Baumann, Adams, Vogt, Bičakčić, Kadeřábek, Grillitsch, Demirbay, Schulz, Belfodil, Joelinton, and Kramarić. In their two Bundesliga matches after that 3-3 with Lyon, they destroyed Stuttgart 4-0 at home, and last weekend scored four more goals, at Bayer Leverkusen (1-4). They did get eliminated by RB Leipzig in the DFB Pokal though.
Previous five matches:
Lyon vs Bordeaux 1-1
Angers vs Lyon 1-2
Hoffenheim vs Lyon 3-3
Lyon vs Nimes 2-0
PSG vs Lyon 5-0
Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim 1-4
RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim 2-0
Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart 4-0
Hoffenheim vs Lyon 3-3
Nurnberg vs Hoffenheim 1-3
Lyon’s next game is at Guingamp, on Saturday (France Ligue 1). Same day, Hoffenheim will be hosting Augsburg (Germany Bundesliga).
Lyon vs Hoffenheim: Head to head Stats
Lyon have never hosted Hoffenheim before.
Lyon vs Hoffenheim: Prediction
Lyon are considered favorites to win, but I’m repeating the tips of two weeks ago.
Lyon vs Hoffenheim: Betting Tips
“Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score” is at 1.61, low, so I would risk with “over 3.5 goals”, at 2.00. Both teams tend to score a lot, but also have the odd… black hole defensively, allowing several goals.