Mainz vs Hoffenheim
Competition: Germany Bundesliga
Date: 18 May 2019
Kick-off: 15:30 CET
Mainz had nothing but their pride to play for last weekend in Frankfurt, but they still produced a massive surprise, beating Eintracht, a result that may cost the Frankfurt side a top four finish. This time they are facing another team with a huge motive, but the situation was similar last weekend, as well as two weeks ago, when Mainz drew 3-3 at home with RB Leipzig(!). They may not be after points, they can’t finish higher than 10th or lower than 12th, but the last 15 days they “punished” two much bigger teams for not taking them as seriously as they deserved. Sandro Schwarz is expected to have Müller, Brosinski, Hack, Niakhate, Martin, Gbamin, Kunde, Latza, Boetius, Ujah and Mateta in the starting lineup. Mwene and Quaison are injured, out, while Holtmann was doubtful the day before the game.
Three weeks ago, Hoffenheim were stepping on it, knocking on the top four’s door. One point from their last three matches has left them 8th in the table, hoping to climb up 7th, so as to snatch the last Europa League ticket. They are on 51 points, Wolfsburg are on 52, and Eintracht on 54. If the latter lose to Bayern in Munich, which is the most probable, and Hoffenheim beat Mainz even by just… half a goal, it’s Hoffenheim who have the advantage (with both teams on 54 points), thanks to their better goal difference. If Eintracht manage to earn a point in Munich, then Hoffenheim need Augsburg to… do them a favor, and not lose to Wolfsburg. If Hoffenheim draw and Wolfsburg lose, they end up on 52 points each, but Hoffenheim have a much better goal difference. Keep in mind, this is Julian Nagelsmann’s last game in charge. He is expected to have Baumann, Bicakcic, Vogt, Hübner, Kaderabek, Demirbay, Grillitsch, Schulz, Kramaric, Belfodil and Joelinton in the starting lineup. Amiri and Geiger are injured, unavailable.
Previous five matches:
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Mainz 0-2
Mainz vs RB Leipzig 3-3
Hannover vs Mainz 1-0
Mainz vs Fortuna Dusseldorf 3-1
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 2-1
Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen 0-1
Borussia Monchengladbach vs Hoffenheim 2-2
Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg 1-4
Schalke vs Hoffenheim 2-5
Hoffenheim vs Hertha Berlin 2-0
This is the last game of the season for both teams.
Mainz vs Hoffenheim: Head to head Stats
One win for the hosts, one for Hoffenheim as well, and three draws, in the last five games between these two in Mainz.
Mainz vs Hoffenheim: Prediction
Despite their poor recent results, I’m with Hoffenheim to win this one.
Mainz vs Hoffenheim: Betting Tips
Hoffenheim’s win is at 1.62, going up to 1.83 if combined with “over 2.5 goals”.