Nacional Asuncion vs Independiente
Competition: Copa Sudamericana
Date: 26 October 2017
Kick-off: 00:15 CET
What a crazy run Nacional Asuncion have had in this season’s Copa Sudamericana… Getting Cruzeiro in the draw back in April, they were tipped to… bid the competition goodbye super early, especially after losing 2-1 in Belo Horizonte. Somehow they beat their famous rivals 2-1 back home, and then qualified on penalties. Next came two draws against Olimpia, another Paraguayan side, with Nacional qualifying thanks to the away goal rule. What’s ironic is that both games were held at Defensores del Chaco, the same stadium, but Nacional drew 2-2 as “guests”, and 1-1 as “hosts”. As much as they struggled against Olimpia, equally… easily (kind of) they eliminated Estudiantes, beating them 1-0 twice. It’s not all… roses for them though. They have three draws and one defeat in their last four games (all in Paraguay’s championship), they are sitting no higher than 8th(!) in the table, looking nothing like the team that beat Estudiantes twice.
Will Independiente succeed where fellow Argentinian side Estudiantes failed in the previous round? Are this season’s Independiente that much better than Estudiantes so as to feel confident that they won’t fail against the same opponent, Nacional Asuncion? It remains to be seen, but one thing is for sure, at this point, Independiente are in much better conditions than their Paraguayan rivals. After losing three games in a row, they now have back-to-back wins in Argentina’s championship, including a 2-1 at Chacarita Juniors ten days ago, which was the last game they played. Unlike Nacional, they didn’t have domestic obligations last weekend, meaning that they have been preparing for this first leg against the Asuncion side for more than a week now.
Previous 5 matches:
Nacional Asuncion vs Rubio Nu 1-1
Nacional Asuncion vs Sol de America 1-1
Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion 2-0
Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Capiata 0-0
Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad 2-1
Chacarita Juniors vs Independiente 1-2
Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield 1-0
Godoy Cruz vs Independiente 1-0
Independiente vs Atletico Tucuman 1-2
Independiente vs Lanus 0-1
Nacional’s next game is at Sportivo Luqueno, on Sunday (Paraguay championship). A day later, Independiente will be hosting Patronato (Argentina Superliga).
Nacional Asuncion vs Independiente: Head to head Stats
This is the first game ever between these two sides.
Nacional Asuncion vs Independiente: Prediction
Independiente’s win pays just over 2.00, being considered rather clear favorites to win this game. Nacional, despite their bad form lately, have looked reliable at home in the Sudamericana, beating Cruzeiro and Estudiantes, and even drawing to Olimpia twice at Defensores del Chaco. All things considered, I’m backing the hosts to earn at least a draw.
Nacional Asuncion vs Independiente: Betting Tips
Nacional’s double chance pays 1.67. Draw alone, which I consider more probable than a Nacional win, is at 3.10 betting odds.