Olympiakos vs Lamia
Competition: Greece Cup
Date: 28 February 2019
Kick-off: 18:30 CET
Olympiakos went 1-0 and 2-1 down in Lamia three weeks ago, but not only they responded both times, they even took the lead, 2-3, in the 61st minute, before getting equalized themselves about 60 seconds later. That 3-3 in Lamia has given them an advantage, and their impressive 5-1 victory Monday night gave them a much-needed morale boost, needed because of their failure in Ukraine last week (lost to Dynamo Kyiv, got eliminated in the Europa League). Monday’s victory came with some bad news as well though, as Olympiakos had to make two obligatory substitutions in the first 21 minutes(!). Defensive midfielder Mady Camara and right-back Vasilis Torosidis both left the field injured. Torosidis’ injury in particular left Olympiakos’ coach Pedro Martins with a… headache, as his other right-back, Omar Elabdellaoui, is out as well, injured himself too. The Piraeus side are second in the Super League, seven points behind leaders PAOK, with eight matches left.
Ten days ago, Lamia were right above the relegation line, knowing that in the next four game weeks of the Super League they would be facing direct rivals in the fight to avoid going down. Fast forward to today, they are full of confidence that next season they will be playing in the top division. First, they triumphed in Crete over OFI, a huge 1-3, and last weekend they beat Larissa at home, 2-1, coming from behind. They now sit 9th(!) in the table, on 27 points. The coming weekend they are visiting Levadiakos, and their coach made no effort to hide that for him, that game is much more important than this one, against Olympiakos. Do expect them to rotate, but it’s unclear how extensive the rotation will be.
Previous five matches:
Olympiakos Piraeus vs OFI Crete 5-1
Dynamo Kiev vs Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0
Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens 4-1
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Dynamo Kiev 2-2
PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus 3-1
Lamia vs AEL Larissa 2-1
OFI Crete vs Lamia 1-3
Xanthi vs Lamia 0-0
Lamia vs Olympiakos Piraeus 3-3
Lamia vs Panetolikos 0-2
Olympiakos’ next game is at Apollon Smyrnis, on Monday. Lamia are visiting Levadiakos on Sunday (both Super League matches).
Olympiakos vs Lamia: Head to head Stats
Olympiakos hosted Lamia twice last year (had never done so before), and beat them both times, 2-0 and 3-0.
Olympiakos vs Lamia: Prediction
Olympiakos should win, simple as that.
Olympiakos vs Lamia: Betting Tips
Given that a simple Olympiakos victory pays too little, I would risk with the same, combined with “over 2.5 goals”, at 1.70. Pushing it, “Olympiakos and over 3.5 goals”, at 2.65, feels worth the risk to me.