Olympiakos vs Panathinaikos
Competition: Greece Super League
Date: 11 November 2018
Kick-off: 18:30 CET
“Over 2.5 goals” (1.66) and “over 3.5” (2.75) were my two tips on Thursday when Olympiakos Piraeus hosted Dudelange in the Europa League, writing that I expected the hosts to try please the crowd, just before the big derby against Panathinaikos, but also Dudelange to look motivated to score their first goal in the group. The Greek side won 5-1(!), still in the game for a top-2 finish in their group. Last weekend, they earned a very tough win at Aris, 0-1. They have now won five games in a row in three competitions, conceding just one goal (against Dudelange, when the score was already at 4-0). They are on 19 points from nine matches in the Super League, third in the table, four points behind leaders PAOK, to whom they have already lost at home.
It’s interesting that Panathinaikos have not just 2-3, but 10 players who have never experienced a derby against Olympiakos before, and the fact that their first “taste” will be in Piraeus, casts an even bigger doubt on whether or not they have what it takes to cope with the pressure. Seven of those 10 players without “derby versus Olympiakos” experience are expected to start, or at least be sent in as substitutes. Center-back Fanis Mavromatis and right-back Mattias Johansson didn’t train properly on Friday, dealing with different injury problems, and their presence in this game is doubtful. Last weekend, Panathinaikos drew without goals with AEK. Fourteen points from nine matches have them 6th in the table.
Previous five matches:
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Dudelange 5-1
Aris vs Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1
Panachaiki vs Olympiakos Piraeus 0-2
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Apollon Smyrnis 1-0
Dudelange vs Olympiakos Piraeus 0-2
Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens 0-0
PAOK vs Panathinaikos 2-0
Panathinaikos vs Panionios 1-0
Asteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos 1-1
Panetolikos vs Panathinaikos 0-1
Olympiakos’ next game is at Atromitos, in two weeks. Panathinaikos will be hosting Apollon Smyrnis after the international break.
Olympiakos vs Panathinaikos: Head to head Stats
Three wins for Olympiakos, one for Panathinaikos, and a draw, in the last five games between these two in Piraeus.
Olympiakos vs Panathinaikos: Prediction
Panathinaikos have done great in most their games this season, but I don’t think they can cope with the pressure of a derby against Olympiakos in Piraeus, not with this super… youthful roster they have.
Olympiakos vs Panathinaikos: Betting Tips
A simple Olympiakos win pays just 1.44. I believe in their victory that much, that I would risk with their -1.5 Asian handicap, expecting them to win by at least two goals. It pays 2.30, much-much better than a simple win of theirs.