Palmeiras vs Boca Juniors
Competition: Copa Libertadores
Date: 1 November 2018
Kick-off: 01:45 CET
Last week, on Tuesday, Gremio visited Buenos Aires to face River Plate, they showed from the very beginning they wanted to score at Monumental, and they did, they also won the game 0-1. A day later, Palmeiras as well played in Buenos Aires, against Boca Juniors. In 90 minutes, they didn’t convince me they were seriously interested in scoring. Theoretically, maybe, but… really-really, no. They got punished at the end, conceding two goals… out of nowhere. The final 2-0 was not representative of how the game went, given that Boca created super few chances, but… in a way, Boca’s win felt fair, simply because they wanted more to win, more than their rivals, who looked perfectly fine with simply not losing. Last weekend, playing with several reserves, Palmeiras earned a massive draw at Maracana against Flamengo. They remain leaders in the Série A, four points ahead of second-placed Flamengo, with seven matches left.
Unbelievable Darío Benedetto… With just 10 minutes left last week, in the first leg, he was sent in, and what an impact he had… He opened the scoring in the 83rd minute with a header from a corner kick (which was really rare, he has scored very few goals in his career like that), and in the 88th minute he scored a second one, a real career-highlight, one of those goals that you just can’t have enough of watching in replays, especially that touch that practically neutralized Palmeiras’ defender who was near him. Fantastic goal, 2-0, massive advantage for Boca, who, read this, have never gotten eliminated in the Copa Libertadores, after winning the first leg 2-0 at home. About 30 hours before kick-off, Boca’s coach Guillermo Barros Schelotto was informed that he can’t be on the bench in the return leg, because the team was late to return to the field after halftime last week. He was also fined, and notified that it’s not allowed to use any sort of technology to stay in touch with his assistant during the game. The hilarious part of all this is that his assistant is his identical twin brother, Gustavo. As for Benedetto, this may look weird, but actually he’s not sure of starting the game, as Ramón Wanchope Ábila is considered better in keeping the ball, protecting it, earning his teammates time. Boca’s number 10, Colombian Edward Cardona, wasn’t even on the bench last week, he played versus Gimnasia La Plata last weekend, but he wasn’t chosen for the trip to Sao Paulo. He has fallen out of favor at Boca, has played very little recently, and it’s obvious his days at the club are numbered (unless something spectacular happens, maybe a change of coach). Boca lost 2-1 at Gimnasia on Saturday, and are no higher than 9th(!) in the Superliga.
Previous five matches:
Flamengo vs Palmeiras 1-1
Boca Juniors vs Palmeiras 2-0
Palmeiras vs Ceara 2-1
Palmeiras vs Gremio 2-0
Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras 0-2
Gimnasia La Plata vs Boca Juniors 2-1
Boca Juniors vs Palmeiras 2-0
Boca Juniors vs Rosario Central 0-0
Racing Club vs Boca Juniors 2-2
Cruzeiro vs Boca Juniors 1-1
Palmeiras’ next game is on Saturday, against Santos (Brazil Série A). Same day, Boca will be hosting Tigre (Argentina Superliga).
Palmeiras vs Boca Juniors: Head to head Stats
Palmeiras have hosted Boca five times in the past. Two wins for them, and three draws. Total goals, 12-5.
Palmeiras vs Boca Juniors: Prediction
I’m backing Palmeiras to win the game, but that 2-0 from last week, that’s… really hard to overturn.
Palmeiras vs Boca Juniors: Betting Tips
Palmeiras’ win pays 1.70. I would stay with that. For something better, I would go for “Palmeiras and under 3.5 goals”, at 2.10.