Panathinaikos vs Panionios
Competition: Greek Super League
Date: 28 May 2017
Kick-off: 17:15 CET
On Wednesday, I backed Panathinaikos to beat AEK, despite having many key players out, despite having their most important player, Swedish striker Marcus Berg, unavailable, and generally despite having their morale at the lowest since the beginning of the season, following what happened against PAOK on the second day of the playoffs. Quick reminder, an idiot three a can of beer at PAOK’s coach Vladan Ivic, he hit him, the game was abandoned (while Panathinaikos were winning 1-0, early in the second half), and that pretty much ended the season for the ‘Greens’. So, despite everything, I expected them to play for their pride, for their well-meant egoism, and beat AEK, which they did, paying the over 2.60 their victory came with. Actually, hours before kick-off, that 2.60 had gone up to 3.00, whatever that meant, but Panathinaikos still returned my trust in them. Berg is still out, he won’t play again this season due to suspension, and right-back Ousmane Coulibaly remains suspended as well. Center-back Thelander and attacking midfielder Lucas Villafanez have been sidelined with injuries for four and two weeks respectively.
Panionios have every reason to feel… cheated by fate. After their draw at home to Panathinaikos and the unexpected win at AEK, they actually found themselves in a great position to do the… unthinkable, finish first in this mini league, but what happened in the two games against PAOK has left them wondering “what if…” In Thessaloniki, they went down 1-0 late in the game, and only after being reduced to ten men. Then, at home, PAOK beat them again 1-0, thanks to an own goal by Risvanis, one of the best players of Panionios this season. They are still missing key players, but at least Risvanis is ok. He got injured against PAOK, it was feared he wouldn’t be able to play in the last two games, but tests showed that his problem is much less serious than first thought.
Panathinaikos vs Panionios: Head-to-head Stats
Four wins for Panathinaikos and one draw in the last five games between these two with the ‘Greens’ as hosts.
Panathinaikos vs Panionios: Prediction
Despite backing Panathinaikos a few days ago to beat AEK, which they did, this time I expect things to go very differently. AEK have been playing very badly in the playoffs, despite beating PAOK and Panathinaikos. Panionios have played better, but failed to get the results they most probably deserved against PAOK. All in all, I’m backing the visitors not to lose, despite the fact that betting companies consider Panathinaikos so big favorites that a win of theirs pays only 1.40.
Panathinaikos vs Panionios: Tips
‘Draw or Panionios’ is at 2.75, obviously it’s a big risk, but one I feel is worth taking.