Panathinaikos vs Real Madrid
Competition: Turkish Airlines Euroleague
Date: 17 April 2018
Time: 20:15 CET
Panathinaikos made a perfect finish in the regular season of the Euroleague, as they won each of their last five matches. They were eventually stuck at a triple-tie with Olympiacos Piraeus and Real Madrid, and finished at the 4th spot. They will now take on Real Madrid with home advantage, but this is far from an easy encounter. Panathinaikos didn’t have a very strong offense in the regular season, scoring just 77.8 points per match, which was actually the 5th worst offense in the Euroleague. However, they featured the third best defense in the Euroleague with just 76.6 conceded. They were dominant at home where they won 13 of their 15 matches, but their scoring increased at 82.2 points per match, with their defense conceding just 73.4 points per match. They will be lucky to have a full line-up in this match, and they will surely need all the bodies they can use in the battle of the paint.
On the other hand, Real Madrid were doing great throughout the season, but a somewhat unexpected loss against Valencia in the final stages really hurt them. Real Madrid did win their last three matches after that loss, but they were stuck at a triple-tie with the two Greek teams, and came out on bottom, losing the home advantage in the process. They were storming in the offensive end throughout the whole season, as they featured the 2nd best offense with 85.86 points per match, while conceding 79.16 in the process. Real Madrid had the third best road record in the Euroleague (W8 L7), with nearly the same scoring average (84.06), while their defense was also pretty similar with 80.6 conceded. Real Madrid have been really unlucky with injuries this season, as reigning MVL Sergio Llull is still unfit to play, Kuzmic is out for the season, and things don’t end there. Guard Facundo Campazzo is the most recent injury blow for Real Madrid, as he will also miss the rest of the season.
Previous 5 games:
Panathinaikos vs Kolossos Rhodes 87:63
Rethymno Cretan Kings vs Panathinaikos 69:103
Olimpia Milano vs Panathinaikos 95:96
Panathinaikos vs Aris 84:63
Panathinaikos vs Valencia 75:56
Fuenlabrada vs Real Madrid 75:90
Real Madrid vs Joventut Badalona 87:70
Real Madrid vs Xacobeo Blusens 78:65
Real Madrid vs Brose Bamberg 106:86
Unicaja Malaga vs Real Madrid 88:89
Panathinaikos vs Real Madrid: Head to Head Stats
The two teams exchanged home wins in the Euroleague this season, with Panathinaikos winning by 82:80 in this venue, before falling by 92:75 in Madrid. They have been great as hosts in this match-up over the years (W7 L3), having won each of the last three here.
Panathinaikos vs Real Madrid: Prediction
Panathinaikos are really blessed to have an empty injury sheet, but the same can’t be said for Real Madrid. They were dealing with the absence of Llull for quite a while now, but the injury to Campazzo leaves them razor thin on the guard spot. Luka Doncic will have to do everything, but he is easily intimidated by loud crowds, and he will surely have a tough time staying focused in Athens.
Panathinaikos vs Real Madrid: Betting Tips
Real Madrid are really strong at home, and Panathinaikos know that they will have make use of home advantage in order to reach the final four. Failing to win any of the first two matches at home would put them in a really dire spot. All things considered, it is going to be a loud and competitive match, and I feel that Panathinaikos will come out on top. I will take the -2 points for the Greeks here @ 1.89.