Poland vs Colombia
Competition: 2018 World Cup finals
Date: 24 June 2018
Kick-off: 20:00 CET
Poland were disappointing against Senegal. Yes, they went 1-0 down with an own-goal, yes, Senegal’s second goal was… “curious”, as Adam Nawalka, Poland’s coach, called it, so someone could claim that both goals the Poles conceded were… “unlucky”, but the truth of the matter is that they got outplayed by the Senegalese. They were less determined entering one-on-one battles, they were slower, they had many unforced errors, and most of all they lacked ideas to break down Senegal’s defense. The goal they got back came very late, in the 86th minute, when the score was already at 2-0. Actually, that goal may just be the only positive for them. The way this group is going, the chances of having the second spot in the table decided by goal difference are significant, so as a single goal can make all the difference in the world.
Colombia can do the easy thing, blame their defeat to Japan on playing practically the whole game with 10 men, or they can look deeper into their performance, mostly individually. They committed way too many mistakes that had nothing to do with playing with 10 men. Countless unforced errors, poor choices, lack of focus… For example, Japan’s winner had nothing to do with playing with a man down. It came from a corner-kick, and a Japanese player managed to get a clear header and send the ball in. If you’re Colombia and concede a goal from a corner-kick against Japan, a team not exactly… famous for their set pieces, especially against non-AFC teams, then something’s wrong. Radamel Falcao said Colombia need to treat this game against Poland as a final. James Rodríguez played only 30 minutes against Japan, but is expected to start this time around. Carlos Sánchez, the guy who conceded the penalty in the 3rd minute and got sent-off, is obviously unavailable, but that seems to be his smallest problem; according to reports, he has received death threats from people back home…
Previous five matches:
Poland vs Senegal 1-2
Poland vs Lithuania 4-0
Poland vs Chile 2-2
Poland vs South Korea 3-2
Poland vs Nigeria 0-1
Colombia vs Japan 1-2
Egypt vs Colombia 0-0
Colombia vs Australia 0-0
France vs Colombia 2-3
China vs Colombia 0-4
Poland’s last group match is against Japan, on Thursday. Same day, Colombia will be facing Senegal.
Poland vs Colombia: Head to head Stats
Poland and Colombia have met five times in the past, all in friendly games. Two wins for the Poles, three for the Colombians, but the Europeans have scored one goal more (8-7).
Poland vs Colombia: Prediction
I’m counting on Colombia’s superiority, quality-wise, to win the game. I found Poland very-very disappointing against Senegal, and at this point I have close to zero faith in them.
Poland vs Colombia: Betting Tips
Colombia’s win pays 2.25 (their double chance is at 1.33). “Radamel Falcao to score anytime” is at 2.40.