Ponte Preta vs Coritiba
Competition: Brazilian Serie A
Date: 20 July 2017
Kick-off: 02:00 CET
Ponte Preta took an unexpected lead at Gremio last weekend thanks to an own goal by a defender of the hosts, but they still ended up losing, 3-1. It was their first goal in four matches, enough to send my ‘Gremio win and clean sheet’ to the dustbin. They now have three consecutive losses, and just one point in their last five Brasileirao games. The club are still very much active in the transfer market, signing three more players these last days, including two strikers who are hoped to have their breakthrough at Ponte Preta. Scoring has been and remains the team’s biggest issue since the start of the season.
Coritiba’s 4-1 win at Avai a week ago proved a short… break from their pitiful displays and results the last five weeks. After going down 1-0 to Fluminense in the 32nd minute, Coritiba fans started verbally attacking two players and the coach, picking them out as main responsible for the team’s poor run in their last games. Right-back Rodrigo Ramos, 22, was particularly targeted, being considered responsible for most of the goals the team have conceded lately. He got substituted in the second half. Striker Henrique Almeida, was the other target. He missed a penalty in the 9th minute, but at least he scored just before halftime. The thing is, Fluminense were already 2-0 up, and ending up winning 2-1. Coach Pachequinho was the one who… heard the most at the stadium. Some of his players defended him in public, saying that he’s the last to blame for the team’s bad results the last five weeks.
Ponte Preta vs Coritiba: Head-to-head Stats
Ponte Preta have five consecutive wins over Coritiba as hosts, including one in a Copa do Brasil match (no matter if Coritiba qualified, losing 2-1, but winning on penalties).
Ponte Preta vs Coritiba: Prediction
Despite their poor run, Ponte Preta are considered by betting companies as clear favorites to win this game, because Coritiba have been doing equally bad lately. Last time they played at home though, Ponte Preta lost 3-0 to Bahia(!), and last time Coritiba left home, they beat Avai 4-1. I’m finding it impossible to pick a winner, so I’m going for goals instead.
Ponte Preta vs Coritiba: Tips
‘Under 2.5 goals’ doesn’t pay more than 1.75, but looking at the bigger picture, how both teams have been doing offensively the last 2-3 weeks, you see that excluding Coritiba’s triumph at minnows Avai, they have struggled to score. Deep down I expect a draw, at 3.20, or 3.60, combined with ‘under 2.5 goals’.