Porto vs Krasnodar
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Date: 13 August 2019
Kick-off: 21:00 CET
I was actually thinking of PAOK(!) while watching Porto’s game in Russia last week. Sérgio Oliveira spent the second half of last season in Greece, on loan from Porto, he was absolutely marvelous, and played a big role in PAOK’s successes, winning their first championship title in 34 years, their first Double as well, as they also won the Cup in Greece. If PAOK’s main shareholder had chosen to dig deep into his pocket, Sérgio Oliveira would still be a PAOK player today, they could have kept him, there was a clause in his loan deal. Ivan Savvidis and PAOK didn’t pay up, the player returned to Porto, last Tuesday PAOK tragically missed a player with Sérgio Oliveira’s characteristics against Ajax, and on Wednesday the 27-year-old central midfielder scored Porto’s winner in Russia, a goal that has them with one foot in the Champions League playoffs. On Saturday, Porto lost 2-1 at Gil Vicente, on their debut in Portugal’s championship. Sérgio Oliveira actually earned a penalty in the first half (still 0-0), but the referee changed his decision after VAR consultation.
Losing a game in the 89th minute feels harsh, but given how the match went last week, I was left with the impression that Porto’s late goal sort of made the game justice, in the sense that the Portuguese side had tried more to score. Attempts were 16-9 for Porto, corners won were 5-1 for them, all numbers that show which team put in bigger effort to create chances, to push for a goal. It’s definitely not over for Krasnodar, but their mission is more than difficult. If they take the lead, they’ll be in command. If they concede first, they will be left with a mountain to climb. On Saturday they beat Rubin Kazan 1-0 at home, despite playing with 10 men in the entire second half.
Previous five matches:
Gil Vicente vs Porto 2-1
Krasnodar vs Porto 0-1
Porto vs Monaco 0-1
Porto vs Getafe 2-1
Porto vs Betis 1-1
Krasnodar vs Rubin Kazan 1-0
Krasnodar vs Porto 0-1
Zenit vs Krasnodar 1-1
Krasnodar vs Sochi 3-0
Ufa vs Krasnodar 2-3
Porto’s next game is on Saturday, again at home, versus Vitória Setúbal (Portugal championship). Same day, Krasnodar will be visiting Tambov (Russia championship).
Porto vs Krasnodar: Head to head Stats
Last week’s game was the first ever between these two.
Porto vs Krasnodar: Prediction
I expect Porto to win again, and qualify without really worrying.
Porto vs Krasnodar: Betting Tips
A simple Porto win is at 1.62. Combined with “under 3.5 goals” it pays 2.30.