Qarabag vs Sporting Lisbon
Competition: UEFA Europa League
Date: 29 November 2018
Kick-off: 18:55 CET
Qarabag were not the better team on the field three weeks ago, when they visited Vorskla, but they scored from the penalty spot in the 13th minute, and managed to protect that lead, leaving Ukraine with all three points, the first ones for them in this group. They are four points behind Sporting Lisbon, and in two weeks they will be visiting Arsenal, so their chances of finishing in the top-2 are mostly mathematical. Last weekend they got stuck to a 1-1 draw at home with Sabah, a poor result. They are second in Azerbaijan’s championship, five points behind leaders Neftçi. They have stayed undefeated in their last five games, Europa League and domestic championship combined.
Sporting Lisbon did a better job at Emirates Stadium three weeks ago, than what they had done two weeks earlier at home against Arsenal; they earned a goalless draw in London, obliging the Gunners to drop their first points in this group. The Lisbon side are on seven points, four ahead of Qarabag, and they are hosting Voskla in two weeks, so… really, they need to commit football suicide not to be in the last-32 of the competition. Center-back Jérémy Mathieu got sent-off in the dying minutes of the match in London three weeks ago, and is unavailable. Last weekend they beat a team from a lower division in Portugal’s Cup, progressing to the next round. They are second in their championship, two points behind leaders Porto.
Previous five matches:
Qarabag vs Sabah 1-1
Qəbələ vs Qarabag 1-3
Vorskla vs Qarabag 0-1
Qarabag vs Sumqayıt 2-0
Keşlə vs Qarabag 1-1
Lusitano FCV vs Sporting Lisbon 1-4
Sporting Lisbon vs Chaves 2-1
Arsenal vs Sporting Lisbon 0-0
Santa Clara vs Sporting Lisbon 1-2
Sporting Lisbon vs Estoril 1-2
Qarabag’s next game is on Sunday, again at home, versus Keşlə (Azerbaijan championship). Sporting are visiting Rio Ave on Monday (Portugal championship).
Qarabag vs Sporting Lisbon: Head to head Stats
Qarabag have never hosted Sporting before.
Qarabag vs Sporting Lisbon: Prediction
I’m backing Sporting to win the game, or at least leave Azerbaijan with a point. The quality gap between the two teams is clear. The hosts should look enthusiastic, but I expect the Portuguese side to find the opportunity to take the lead, and do a good job protecting it.
Qarabag vs Sporting Lisbon: Betting Tips
Sporting’s win is at 2.30, with their double chance low, at 1.40.