Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Date: 18 April 2017
Kick-off: 20:45 CET
Looking at how Real Madrid have been doing lately, they are going to miss out on the chance to play in the Champions League semifinals only if they shoot their own foot, no matter if it’s mighty Bayern they have visiting them. Zinedine Zidane’s team have lost just one of their last 18 games, at Valencia, almost two months ago, and to be left out of the CL semifinals they don’t just need to lose, but lose big. Their 2-1 victory in Munich last week gives them a huge advantage, and allows them to remain… calm, even if they concede first, since even then, being 1-0 down, they’ll still be having the upper hand. It should be noted though that Madrid are going to be without central defenders Pepe and Varane, while Bale is also unavailable, still struggling to shake off his latest injury. Last time Real lost a game at Bernabeu was on January 19, three months ago, to Celta (1-2).
It’s no surprise that Bayern Munich stars insist that they can turn things around, all agreeing that “this is Bayern”, a team full of champions. Xabi Alonso, Manuel Neuer, Robert Lewandowski, all have been very vocal about their belief they are not down and out, not just yet. As for Carlo Ancelotti, he would be much more optimistic if Mats Hummels and Jerome Boateng were not dealing with injury problems that may deprive both of them of the chance to play in this hugely important game. According to German reports, if none of them is available after all, Ancelotti will go with David Alaba and Joshua Kimmich as central defenders. One guy who is sure to miss the return leg in Madrid is Javi Martinez, who got sent off in the first leg last week, for two quick fouls on Cristiano Ronaldo. Bayern failed to beat Leverkusen on Saturday, but there was good news on Sunday, when Lewandowski trained properly, for the first time since he injured his shoulder against Borussia Dortmund. After the practice, he told Bayern’s TV channel that he felt ‘fine’. There is no doubt he will play at Bernabeu.
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich: Head-to-head Stats
There is incredibly rich history between Real Madrid and Bayern Munich, they have faced each other a total of 23 times, the Spanish side has 10 wins, one less than Bayern, and the same is true about the goals as well, with the total score being 33-34 in favour of the German side. The games in Madrid are a very different story though. Real have beaten their big rivals eight times, twice it was the Germans who won, and one game has ended in a draw.
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich: Prediction
Given that this time they will manage to finish the game with eleven players, I’m counting on Bayern not to lose. I do expect Real Madrid to qualify for the semifinals though.
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich: Tips
‘Draw or Bayern’ is at 1.60. Despite missing several training sessions before finally returning to action on Sunday, I expect Lewandowski to rise to the occasion and score anytime. This pays 1.72. I have a hunch about 2-2 being the final score, this pays 10.00, and Lewandowski scoring anytime in a 2-2 draw is at 13.00.