Real Madrid vs Fenerbahce
Competition: Turkish Airlines Euroleague
Date: 20 May 2018
Time: 20:00 CET
Real Madrid exploded on Friday against CSKA Moscow, as they played like champions against a team of similar strength. As we said, we expected them to take advantage of their big bodies, but that was not entirely the case on Friday. Tavares was only used for 8 minutes but managed to do 3 blocks and 5 fouls in that span, while Randolph played just 9 minutes. It was Sergio Llull and Luka Doncic who led the charge with 16 points each, while Thompkins and Ayon scored 12 each (Ayon also had 11 rebounds). It was a solid team effort, with every player chipping in across the board. Even though Real Madrid were left 10 points behind at the end of the first quarter, they quickly took the upper hand and overturned the lead in their favor. They outscored their opponents in each of the next three quarters, and will now have a chance for the title.
On the other hand, Fenerbahce had a slightly easier job against Zalgiris Kaunas, whom they defeated by 76:67. It was a matter of experience in that match just like we predicted, as Fenerbahce’s entire roster consists of players who can make a difference. This time it was Muhammed who exploded for 19 points, Datome scored 16 with 3 blocks, Sloukas had 14 with 3 assists, and Melli might have only scored 4 points, but he had 6 assists, 3 rebounds and 5 steals. Every player who played substantial minutes actually contributed to this massive win, that brings Fenerbahce close to another Euroleague title. However, Fenerbahce’s success also derived from their defensive approach, as they forced the team with the best threepoint percentage to score just two of ten threepointers.
Previous 5 games:
CSKA Moscow vs Real Madrid 83:92
Murcia vs Real Madrid 61:63
Real Madrid vs Real Betis 104:89
Real Madrid vs Gipuzkoa 87:75
Real Madrid vs Baskonia 101:89
Fenerbahce vs Zalgiris Kaunas 76:67
Fenerbahce vs Istanbul BB 96:73
Buyuksehir vs Fenerbahce 79:83
Fenerbahce vs Besiktas 83:60
Fenerbahce vs Tofas 98:78
Real Madrid vs Fenerbahce: Head to Head Stats
So the two teams exchanged away wins over the course of the regular season, with Real Madrid winning by 77:79 in Russia, but falling by 83:86 at home. The two teams also met in the semi-finals last season, with Fenerbahce winning by 84:75 before going on to win the title. It is Real Madrid who have had the upper hand in this match-up over the years (W10 L7), but Fenerbahce have won six of the last eight matches between the two.
Real Madrid vs Fenerbahce: Prediction
Both teams deserve to be here, as they didn’t make it to the final by chance, but by skill and tenacity. Real Madrid had a lot more obstacles to overcome, with tons of injuries to deal with, but they did it. They will now have to outplay the entire Fenerbahce squad, but more importantly, coach Obradovic himself, and that is not a simple task.
Real Madrid vs Fenerbahce: Betting Tips
Fenerbahce will most likely want to approach this match defensively, while Real Madrid will try to attack from the start. This can really go either way, but usually it’s the defensvse that prevails, so I will take my chances with the Under 163.5 points @ 1.80. Moreover, I will take a wild chance with Jan Vesely’s double-double @ 6.00, as he was really bad in the previous match and will surely want to make things right.