Real Madrid vs Khimki Moscow
Competition: Turkish Airlines Euroleague
Date: 15 November 2018
Time: 20:00 CET
Real Madrid (W6 L0) have been taking heads this season, and they are coming off their second consecutive away win. They were hosted by Maccabi Tel Aviv in Israel in their last match and actually had a pretty easy job. They started greatly in that match and took a three-point lead by the end of the first quarter, and went on to destroy their opponents in the second quarter by 8:23. Real Madrid only got their feet of the pedal at the final quarter, but they did so much damage up to that point and eventually won by 66:87. Sergio Llull scored a game-high 17 points with 5/8 triples, while Ayon posted a strong 12/12 double double. Carroll scored 16 with 4/5 triples and Randolph have 11 points and 8 triples in that match, where pretty much everyone had something to contribute. Real Madrid are still sitting at the top of the Euroleague and are featuring the best offense with 93.83 points per match, and also the best defense with 76.16 conceded. Pretty impressive.
On the other hand, Khimki Moscow (W1 L5) played a really peculiar match at home against the visiting Barcelona last week. The Russians are playing a different kind of game this season, and it’s kind of what they do over in the NBA. To put that into perspective, Khimki Moscow shot 19 two-pointers in that match, and a whopping 39 three-pointers! They did score 17 of those 39 threes but unfortunately it wasn’t enough for them to avoid the loss. The two teams were tied at the half-time break, but Barcelona exploded in the third quarter to eventually win by 80:87. I don’t need to say that Shved led the scoring once again, as the guy hit 5/11 triples on his way to 27 points, 6 assists, 3 rebounds and 2 steals. Crocker had 17 with 2 assists, 3 rebounds and 5/8 triples but no other played managed to score in double-digits. Khimki Moscow are now 12th in the Euroleague with an average of 80.33 points per match, while allowing 84.16 in the process.
Previous 5 games:
Fuenlabrada vs Real Madrid 80:95
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Real Madrid 66:87
Real Madrid vs Morabank Andorra 105:107
Zalgiris Kaunas vs Real Madrid 79:90
Real Madrid vs San Pablo Burgos 90:77
Khimki Moscow vs Riga 75:51
Khimki Moscow vs Barcelona 80:87
Astana vs Khimki Moscow 67:76
Khimki Moscow vs Gran Canaria 87:72
Khimki Moscow vs Unics Kazan 78:65
Real Madrid vs Khimki Moscow: Head to Head Stats
The two teams exchanged away wins last season, when Khimki Moscow won by 80:86 in this venue before falling by 78:95 in Russia. There has been total balance in this match-up over the years, with each team having won five matches. Real Madrid just slightly have the upper hand as hosts (W3 L2).
Real Madrid vs Khimki Moscow: Prediction
These two teams have a bit of a difference in their style of play, as Real Madrid have probably the best bigs in the Euroleague right now, while Khimki Moscow shot 40 threes in their last match. Real Madrid can surely play that game, while Khimki Moscow cannot defend Real Madrid in the paint. Shved, Gubanov and Prather are missing this match for the russians so this looks like an easy win for Real Madrid, and perhaps even do it with double-digits so Real -14 @1.80 seems like a decent bet under these conditions. I would also bet on Real to capitalize on their advantage under the paint so Tavares scoring over 7.5 points would be my second bet. Without Shved on court I think Dee Bost will play more and shoot more so bet on him to go over 10.5 points as well.