Salzburg vs Napoli
Competition: UEFA Europa League
Date: 14 March 2019
Kick-off: 18:55 CET
“Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals” was the tip here last week when Salzburg visited Napoli, I mentioned back then that I couldn’t imagine Napoli not scoring, but had faith in Salzburg as well. Incredibly, Napoli won 3-0, despite the fact that Salzburg finished the game on more attempts(!), and double on target, compared to the Italian side. The numbers were 16-21(!), the attempts, with the on target ones being 3-6 for Salzburg. Ball possession was 50-50. I’m still in disbelief, trying to… digest the fact that Salzburg left San Paolo empty-handed, not only having lost by three goals, but having failed to score at least once themselves. On Sunday “it” happened again; Salzburg failed to score past Sturm Graz at home, getting stuck to a disappointing 0-0. With one game left in regular season in Austria’s championship, Salzburg are leading, nine points ahead of second-placed LASK.
In last week’s preview I mentioned that Napoli’s home defeat to Juventus in their last game before hosting the Austrian side pretty much… left them with one big target in the remainder of the season; win the Europa League. They rose to the occasion against Salzburg, scoring twice in the first 20 minutes, and then getting lucky, when Onguéné sent the ball in his own team’s net in the 58th minute. Things couldn’t have gone much better for Napoli, unlike last weekend, when they had to settle for a draw at Sassuolo (1-1), actually salvaging that point in the 86th minute (Insigne equalized). They remain second in the Serie A table, six points ahead of third-placed AC Milan.
Previous five matches:
Salzburg vs Sturm Graz 0-0
Napoli vs Salzburg 3-0
Salzburg vs Wolfsberger AC 3-0
Rapid Vienna vs Salzburg 2-0
Salzburg vs Club Brugge 4-0
Sassuolo vs Napoli 1-1
Napoli vs Salzburg 3-0
Napoli vs Juventus 1-2
Parma vs Napoli 0-4
Napoli vs Zurich 2-0
Salzburg’s next game is at Wacker Innsbruck on Sunday (Austria championship). Same day, Napoli will be hosting Udinese (Italy Serie A).
Salzburg vs Napoli: Head to head Stats
Last week’s game was the first ever between these two.
Salzburg vs Napoli: Prediction
The hosts are considered favorites to win, but I wouldn’t bet on that. I prefer focusing on goals.
Salzburg vs Napoli: Betting Tips
“Over 2.5 goals” is at 1.65, not particularly tempting, but combined with “both teams to score” it goes up to 1.87. I’m repeating last week’s tip, even though this time it pays considerably less.