Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras
Competition: Brazilian Serie A
Date: 28 May 2017
Kick-off: 00:00 CET
Finally, Sao Paulo played -kind of- like… Sao Paulo on Monday, beating Avai 2-0, picking up their first points in the championship, and putting an end to a series of massive failures in four competitions, the Serie A, the Copa do Brasil, the Paulista championship, and the Copa Sudamericana. Coach Rogerio Ceni is expected to include in the starting lineup center-back Maicon and right winger Luiz Araujo, instead of Diego Lugano and Marcinho. Defensive midfielder Thiago Mendes got injured on Monday in the game versus Avai, most probably will miss this match, and Joao Schmidt should take his place. A derby at home is maybe exactly what Sao Paulo need at this stage so as to give themselves a real boost, now that the season in the Serie A is still too-too young.
Last weekend Palmeiras were considered clear favorites to beat Chapecoense, but I backed the Copa Sudamericana title holders to earn at least a draw, and they actually ended up winning the game, 1-0. In that game, Palmeiras, as expected, played with an alternative lineup, because they had a super important Copa Libertadores game coming up, against Atletico Tucuman. They won 3-1, they qualified for the last 16 of the competition, so those dropped points at Chapecoense were rather worth it. An interesting story surfaced hours before kick-off against Atletico Tucuman. In the last training before that match, defensive midfielder Felipe Melo and Omar Feitosa, a member of the staff, got involved in a loud argument, over the score of the game between two teams in training. According to reports, Palmeiras players take their internal duels very seriously, they even bet (not on money) on who will win, and Feitosa acted as a referee in Tuesday’s training. The way he calculated the score didn’t please Felipe Melo, the two men exchanged some words, and after the training the club decided to fine both of them(!), which came as a surprise to the rest of the players, saying that ‘fighting over the score in training games is normal’.
Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras: Head-to-head Stats
Sao Paulo have beaten Palmeiras twice in their last five games as hosts. Two games have ended without a winner, and Palmeiras have picked up one victory.
Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras: Prediction
Betting companies give even chances to both teams to win. Personally, I see Sao Paulo closer to picking up all three points, because they are playing at home, because they definitely want to build on that win last Monday over Avai, and also because Palmeiras played a big game on Wednesday, and could be somewhat tired.
Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras: Tips
Sao Paulo’s win pays 2.62. I consider it good enough to avoid risking with number of goals or anything else.