Sao Paulo vs Sport Recife
Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: 26 November 2018
Kick-off: 20:00 CET
Diego Souza couldn’t play against Vasco da Gama on Thursday, and his absence was felt in Sao Paulo’s attacking line. They lost 2-0, conceding the first goal early, in the 18th minute, and failing to respond. They stayed in the game until added time, when Vasco scored again to push the game beyond Sao Paulo’s reach. Diego Souza trained properly these last days, having left behind him the minor injury problem that troubled him last week. On the other hand, midfielder Hudson and right-back Bruno Peres are major doubts. Sao Paulo are expected to start with Jean, Bruno Peres (or Araruna), Arboleda, Bruno Alves (or Rodrigo Caio), Reinaldo, Jucilei, Hudson (or Liziero), Nenê, Everton, Diego Souza and Helinho. They are fifth in the Serie A table, on 62 points, as many as Gremio, but they have won a game less than the Porto Alegre side, and that’s why they are fifth and not fourth. Be reminded, only the top-4 teams earn direct tickets to next season’s Copa Libertadores stage.
Sport Recife are in serious-serious trouble… That 2-1 defeat at Chapecoense on Thursday may prove decisive. They finished the 36th game week on 38 points, 17th in the table, two points behind Chapecoense, the first team right above the relegation line. They are visiting Sao Paulo, a team aiming at finishing in the top-4, and next weekend they are hosting Santos, who may be left without a real motive, but remain a very strong team with many top players. At this point, Sport need… not exactly a miracle, but definitely something “special”, a combination of super favorable results in their games and in other matches as well, so as to avoid relegation.
Previous five matches:
Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo 2-0
Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro 1-0
Sao Paulo vs Gremio 1-1
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo 1-1
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo 2-2
Chapecoense vs Sport Recife 2-1
Sport Recife vs Flamengo 0-1
Sport Recife vs Vitoria 0-0
Fluminense vs Sport Recife 0-0
Sport Recife vs Ceara 1-0
Sao Paulo are visiting Chapecoense on Sunday. Same day, Sport will be hosting Santos (both Série A matches).
Sao Paulo vs Sport Recife: Head to head Stats
Sao Paulo have hosted Sport nine times starting in 1999, they have won eight of those matches, and one has ended in a draw.
Sao Paulo vs Sport Recife: Prediction
I’m backing the hosts to win, but their victory pays just 1.40.
Sao Paulo vs Sport Recife: Betting Tips
Given that Sao Paulo’s win is at just 1.40, I would risk combining it with a clean sheet. Like that, it pays a good 2.05. Sport have scored just one goal in their last four games.