Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice
Competition: Poland Ekstraklasa
Date: 9 December 2017
Kick-off: 15:30 CET
I hardly ever “defend” tips of mine that went bad, but somehow, this weekend, I find myself doing it in a third Ekstraklasa preview. “Both teams to score” (1.72) and Slask’s double chance (1.90) were my two tips last weekend when Slask visited Lechia Gdansk, and I’m still in disbelief, wondering how the heck Slask lost 3-1… Actually, they were 3-0 down by the 80th minute, which felt… I don’t know if “hyper-real” even exists, I guess it doesn’t, but it definitely felt more than surreal. Slask had had more chances than Lechia, both teams had been given a penalty, but amazingly, Slask were 3-0 down… One of those games that… if you are a Slask fan, could turn you into an alcoholic, lamenting how unfair football can be. Ironically, the guy who, in a way, cost Slask the most, was Robak, one of their most influential players this season. He failed to fool Kuciak in his penalty kick in the first half, he looked on the left as he approached the ball, but he kicked it to his right, with Lechia’s goalkeeper having figured out the “trap”. Slask are just 11th in the table, having lost three of their last four matches.
Piast Gliwice’s double chance (1.80) and draw alone (3.40) were my two tips last weekend when Piast hosted Lech Poznan, the game ended in a goalless draw, so… all well, but truth is, the final 0-0 is very-very flattering for Piast. Excluding a foul-kick in the first half, they didn’t threaten (not that Vranjes’ foul was exceptional), while Lech on the other side, had two attempts on the post. Important detail, Szmatula, Piast’s goalkeeper, was included in last weekend’s best 11, which gives you an idea how exactly Piast managed to earn that point. Second straight draw for Piast, who also have technology to thank for their point last weekend, as the referee gave Lech a penalty, only to change his decision after seeing on a screen that Papadopulos hadn’t touched the ball with his hand. Martin Bukata is unavailable (four yellow cards), a blow to Piast, as they don’t really have that many players with Bukata’s quality in midfield.
Previous five matches:
Lechia Gdansk vs Slask Wroclaw 3-1
Slask Wroclaw vs Zaglebie Lubin 1-0
Slask Wroclaw vs Arka Gdynia 1-2
Korona Kielce vs Slask Wroclaw 3-0
Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin 3-0
Piast Gliwice vs Lech Poznan 0-0
Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice 2-2
Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow 1-0
Nieciecza vs Piast Gliwice 2-1
Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Plock 2-1
Slask’s next game is at Nieciecza, on Tuesday. Same day, Piast will be hosting Legia Warsaw (both Poland Ekstraklasa matches).
Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice: Head to head Stats
Just one win for Slask, three for Piast(!), and a draw, in the last five games between these two in Wroclaw. Four of those five matches went over 2.5 goals.
Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice: Prediction
Even this half-problematic and half-unlucky Slask, should beat Piast. I will be very surprised if Slask don’t score, at least twice, and don’t win this game.
Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice: Betting Tips
A simple Slask win pays 1.95, exactly as much as “over 2.5 goals”. I strongly believe that the reason why Piast didn’t create any chances last weekend, is because they never went down in the score. They typically… wake up, offensively, after going down. In this game, I do expect them to concede in the first half, leading to the game going over 2.5 goals, so, my riskiest tip, is “Slask and over 2.5 combined goals”, at 3.10 betting odds.