Sol de America vs Independiente CG
Competition: Paraguay Apertura
Date: 26 March 2018
Kick-off: 22:50 CET
“Both teams to score” and “over 3.5 goals” were my two tips a week ago when Sol de América visited Olimpia, both came good, but… the way they came good, is not what I had pictured. Sol went 0-2 up less than half an hour into the game, shocking the Apertura leaders. They were reduced to 10 men (their goalkeeper got sent-off seeing back-to-back yellow cards, first for wasting time and then for insulting the referee), but right after that, they scored again!! Olimpia’s goal just before halftime proved crucial. Sol struggled in the second half, and not only got equalised in the 78th minute, but also saw Olimpia lose several more chances to win the game. No matter what, they played excellent football in the first half, and if it weren’t for their goalkeeper, most probably they would have left Olimpia’s home with more than just a point. They complained that the referee was biased against them, but truth is, he missed a handball inside Sol’s box. If he really wanted to help Olimpia, he would NOT have missed a penalty for them.
You could see it coming… Sure, Independiente de Campo Grande started the season looking awesome, but two weeks ago they struggled to beat Deportivo Santaní at home (1-0), in what was their poorest performance up until then in the season. Right after that, they got stuck to a 1-1 draw at home to lowly 3 de Febrero, further sign that… things had changed. Against Cerro Porteño midweek, their body language from the very start of the match showed that they didn’t really believe in leaving the field with a point, a positive result. No one can blame them for not trying, but… having seen how they looked in previous matches, the difference with the team that played at “La Nueva Olla” a few days ago was… striking. They lost 4-0, making this game against Sol a real character test for them.
Previous five matches:
Olimpia vs Sol de America 3-3
Sol de America vs Deportivo Capiata 5-1
Libertad vs Sol de America 1-2
Nacional Asuncion vs Sol de America 1-1
Sol de America vs 3 de Febrero 4-1
Cerro Porteno vs Independiente CG 4-0
Independiente CG vs 3 de Febrero 1-1
Independiente CG vs Deportivo Santani 1-0
Guarani vs Independiente CG 0-1
Independiente CG vs Sportivo Luqueno 4-1
Sol’s next game is at General Díaz. Independiente will be hosting Libertad (both Paraguay Apertura matches).
Sol de America vs Independiente CG: Head to head Stats
Last season, Sol beat Inde 3-1 in the Clausura, and drew 1-1 in the Apertura, both times as hosts. Before that, they hadn’t hosted them since 2012.
Sol de America vs Independiente CG: Prediction
Sol are at a much better place right now, but even so, I have serious doubts suggesting their victory. I prefer to bet on goals instead.
Sol de America vs Independiente CG: Betting Tips
“Both teams to score” pays 1.87, and “over 2.5 combined goals” is at 2.00 betting odds. Acting somewhat greedy, I would risk with “over 3.5 goals”, tempted by the… nature of both teams, and of course the awesome 3.40 it pays.