Sport Recife vs Corinthians
Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: 3 December 2017
Kick-off: 20:00 CET
Big, big, big win for Sport Recife last weekend at Fluminense, a victory that kept them just below the relegation line, but, just one point behind Vitoria and Coritiba. Sport looked infinitely more motivated than Fluminense, took a 2-0 lead, and had more chances to score, anything but… parking the bus after their second goal. They were given a mini scare when Flu made it 1-2, but all in all, they deserved to win, and they did. How can they be in the Serie A next season as well? The bad thing for them, is that they don’t depend on themselves. They may beat Corinthians… 4-0 (unlikely, but a simple win is likely, especially keeping in mind that Corinthians will play with several reserves), and still get relegated. They need to win, and they need either Vitoria or Coritiba to drop points in their games. Vitoria are hosting Flamengo, who will play with an alternative lineup. Coritiba though, are visiting Chapecoense, who have every reason to bleed to win the game.
It would have been a party-spoiler to lose that home game last weekend against Atletico Mineiro, and they didn’t. Corinthians players were presented with the Brasileirao trophy, having secured the title a couple of weeks ago. They went 1-0 down, came back, made it 2-1 in the 58th minute with an im-pres-si-ve Marquinhos Gabriel goal, but Fred equalized soon after that, and actually Corinthians got a bit lucky towards the end of the match, as Fred missed one of the chances we call “unmissable” to give Atletico all three points. All in all, it was a very-very entertaining game, lucky they who attended it or watched it on TV or online. Should be noted that Fabio Carille, Corinthians’ coach, in his Press conference soon after the final whistle last weekend, didn’t hide his intention to play with several reserves in Recife, so as to give some players the chance to get some game time. It may not be fair to the teams that are fighting with Sport Recife to avoid relegation, but… it is what it is…
Previous five matches:
Fluminense vs Sport Recife 1-2
Sport Recife vs Bahia 1-0
Palmeiras vs Sport Recife 5-1
Atletico GO vs Sport Recife 2-0
Sport Recife vs Botafogo 1-2
Corinthians vs Atletico Mineiro 2-2
Flamengo vs Corinthians 3-0
Corinthians vs Fluminense 3-1
Corinthians vs Avai 1-0
Atletico PR vs Corinthians 0-1
Sport’s next official game is on January 17 (Pernambucano championship). A week earlier, Corinthians are scheduled to face PSV Eindhoven in the Florida Cup.
Sport Recife vs Corinthians: Head to head Stats
Two wins for Sport, two for Corinthians, and a draw, in the last five games between these two in Recife. Only one of those five matches had more than two goals.
Sport Recife vs Corinthians: Prediction
Despite being below the relegation line, and hosting the new champions, Sport Recife are considered huge favorites to win the game, 1.48(!!) favorites. Do I agree? Yes and no. Corinthians’ reserves are not… amateurs, they do have motive to show things, and despite Sport’s N E E D to pick up all three points, I have my doubts regarding their ability to win the game. I’m leaving winners and losers aside, I’m focusing on goals instead.
Sport Recife vs Corinthians: Betting Tips
“Over 2.5 combined goals”, at 1.72, and “both teams to score”, at 1.85, are my two tips.
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