Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno
Competition: Paraguay Apertura
Date: 31 May 2018
Kick-off: 01:15 CET
Total disaster… Sportivo Luqueño lost 3-0 at Deportivo Santaní last weekend, had a player sent-off in the 18th minute, their – former – coach sent-off a while later, and if their miserable afternoon weren’t complete, they made the… monumental mistake to play with four foreigners at the same time, which is not allowed by APF regulations. No one on the bench realized what was happening, the lack of focus – and heart, on the pitch – was… too obvious. Fernando Ortiz is no longer Luqueño’s coach, his time at the club was nothing special, Héctor Schonhauser has taken over as interim coach, to lead the team in the last three games of the Apertura tournament. If they don’t… wake up in the Clausura, after the World Cup finals, Luqueño could get relegated by the end of the season. They are… flirting dangerously with the 11th spot in the promedio table.
Cerro Porteño’s win combined with “over 2.5 goals” was my main tip last weekend when the – still – reigning champions hosted General Díaz, and they returned my trust, winning the game 4-1, sort of stepping on it in the last 15 minutes, right after General Díaz had equalized 1-1 (73rh minute). It was Cerro’s sixth win in a row, Apertura and Copa Libertadores combined. They are nine points behind leaders Olimpia, with three games remaining. To win the title, they need to win all three, and Olimpia to lose all three, which feels… 99.9% impossible. Cerro have already turned their attention to strengthening the squad over the World Cup finals break. According to reports, their priority is to sign Paraguayan players, following Luis Zubeldía’s suggestions/requests.
Previous five matches:
Deportivo Santani vs Sportivo Luqueno 3-0
Sportivo Luqueno vs Guarani 0-1
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno 0-2
General Diaz vs Sportivo Luqueno 2-1
Sportivo Luqueno vs Independiente CG 1-1
Cerro Porteno vs General Diaz 4-1
Cerro Porteno vs Monagas 3-2
Independiente CG vs Cerro Porteno 0-3
Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Porteno 0-1
Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia 1-0
Sportivo Luqueño’s next game is at 3 de Febrero. Cerro will be hosting Guaraní (both Paraguay Apertura matches).
Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno: Head to head Stats
Two wins for Luqueño, two for Cerro, and a draw, in the last five games between these two in Luque.
Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno: Prediction
Luqueño are such a mess right now, having sacked yet another coach, having lost 3-0 to a newly-promoted team, that I can’t see how they can avoid defeat playing against a super hot Cerro side.
Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno: Betting Tips
Cerro’s win pays 1.66. “Over 2.5 goals” is at 1.95, and these two combined promise an even better 2.75.