Sweden vs Switzerland
Competition: 2018 World Cup finals
Date: 3 July 2018
Kick-off: 16:00 CET
Sweden won two of their three group matches, and lost to Germany only because they conceded in added time. In other words, it’s hard to say that they didn’t deserve to qualify for the last 16. That was their main target, they have already met it, so from now on, whatever comes, will be a very welcome bonus. Against Mexico, in their last group match, they scored three goals in 25 minutes in the second half, three goals, which is as many as they had scored in their six previous matches combined(!). Reading what they have been saying these last days, I’m left with the impression they are well aware of their limits, but they are also confident that Switzerland is an opponent they can handle. They definitely can.
Switzerland stayed unbeaten in the group stage, finishing second behind Brazil, with whom they drew 1-1. Captain Lichtsteiner is out, due to cards, and so is Schär, both key players for Switzerland. According to reports, it’s Lang and Djourou who will be included in the starting lineup. Staying undefeated in the group stage is something that filled the Swiss with hope about how far they can go in these finals, but they are the first ones to admit that they can and have to play much better. Against Brazil, they did a great job defensively, but also were lucky to find their opponents on their worst day in the group stage. Against Serbia, they wasted a good part of the game before… waking up and winning in added time. Last, against Costa Rica (2-2), their weaknesses, defensively, could be seen, against a team that hadn’t scored in their first two games.
Previous five matches:
Mexico vs Sweden 0-3
Germany vs Sweden 2-1
Sweden vs South Korea 1-0
Sweden vs Peru 0-0
Sweden vs Denmark 0-0
Switzerland vs Costa Rica 2-2
Serbia vs Switzerland 1-2
Brazil vs Switzerland 1-1
Switzerland vs Japan 2-0
Spain vs Switzerland 1-1
The winner of this game will face the winner of Colombia vs England in the quarterfinals.
Sweden vs Switzerland: Head to head Stats
Sweden and Switzerland have met 28 times in the past. Ten wins for Sweden, 11 for Switzerland, and seven draws. Total goals, 46-42 for Sweden (despite having won less games than the Swiss).
Sweden vs Switzerland: Prediction
Switzerland are considered slight favorites to win the game, but I would leave winners and losers aside, and bet on goals instead.
Sweden vs Switzerland: Betting Tips
“No” on “both teams to score is at 1.61, not fantastic, but very probable, the way I see it, considering this the type of game that is decided by a single goal, with the team that open the scoring ending up winning it. Actually, I expect the one – most probably – goal to come in extra-time. For much more than 1.61, I would risk with draw alone, at 3.00.