Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate
Competition: Argentina Superliga
Date: 4 February 2019
Kick-off: 01:30 CET
As predicted here last weekend, Vélez Sarsfield did very well at Estudiantes, and actually… even better than expected. Their win in “draw no bet” (1.73) and their double chance combined with “over 1.5” (2.17) were the two tips here, and Gabriel Heinze’s men made sure to make both come good, winning the game 1-2, despite being the first to concede, in the 21st minute. They equalized before halftime, went 1-2 up in the 55th minute, and were the ones who missed the best chance to score again after that. No one can say they were “lucky” to turn the game around, it happened because they deserved it. Awesome way to start 2019, win away from home. They now sit 6th in the table, on 28 points, very close to the top four (the Copa Libertadores positions).
“I risk eating my own words, but I really expect River to draw a line, say a silent ‘enough is enough’, and finally get their first positive result this month.” This is what you read here on Wednesday, before River’s away game against Godoy Cruz. No… eating words proved necessary, as the Millonarios ran riot, destroying Godoy Cruz 0-4. “It’s not like we had forgotten how to play football”, coach Marcelo Gallardo told reporters after the match, commenting on the three games in a row his team had just lost in a matter of 10 days(!), all three at home(!!). They improved their position in the table, they now sit 11th, on 22 points, they still have a game in hand, they have awesome chances of finishing in a Copa Sudamericana position, but… in a Copa Libertadores one as well? That, I doubt. Then again, they were in a similar position last year, and they… won the Libertadores, securing a spot in 2019’s edition as well.
Previous five matches:
Estudiantes vs Velez Sarsfield 1-2
Patronato vs Velez Sarsfield 3-3
Velez Sarsfield vs Rosario Central 2-0
Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield 0-2
Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo 0-0
Godoy Cruz vs River Plate 0-4
River Plate vs Patronato 1-3
River Plate vs Union Santa Fe 1-2
River Plate vs Defensa y Justicia 0-1
Kashima Antlers vs River Plate 0-4
Vélez are visiting Huracán next weekend. River will be hosting Racing (both Superliga matches).
Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate: Head to head Stats
Two wins for Vélez, one for River, and two draws, in the last five games between these two at José Amalfitani.
Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate: Prediction
River are considered favorites to win the game. They “delivered” a few days ago, but this time I’m betting half-against them, tipping Vélez to earn at least a draw.
Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate: Betting Tips
Vélez’s win in “draw no bet” is at 2.22, with their double chance at 1.57. “Vélez or draw” combined with “over 1.5” pays 2.40.