Vitoria vs Bahia
Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: 11 November 2018
Kick-off: 20:00 CET
Vitória shot their own foot last weekend, failing to beat already-relegated Paraná. Actually, things could have been even worse; they went 1-0 down in the 59th minute, and soon after that they were reduced to 10 men. They salvaged a point thanks to a late-late goal. Still, the result was so bad that cost Paulo Cézar Carpegiani his job. João Burse is Vitória’s new coach, taking over with the team 17th in the table, right below the relegation line, two points behind Sport Recife, the first team above the red line. Burse did everything necessary to avoid “helping” Bahia, not disclosing his intentions regarding the starting lineup. Vitória set low ticket prices, hoping to have the stadium full to the brim for this massive game, massive not only because it’s a Salvador derby, but also because Vitória are… dying to earn all three points. Midfielder Rhayner, the guy who got sent-off last weekend, is obviously unavailable.
Elber’s goal in the 67th minute last weekend proved enough for Bahia to beat Chapecoense at home. They are on 40 points, 11th in the table, earning a Copa Sudamericana ticket (the way things stands today). Good news for coach Enderson Moreira is that center-forward Gilberto trained properly on Friday and Saturday, looking perfectly capable of playing against Vitória, even starting. On the other hand, attacking midfielder Marco Antônio couldn’t shake off his latest injury, and has to sit out. Bahia have faced Vitória five times the last 13 months, mostly in their State championship, and have won all five matches.
Previous five matches:
Parana vs Vitoria 1-1
Vitoria vs Sao Paulo 0-1
Vitoria vs Corinthians 2-2
Chapecoense vs Vitoria 0-1
Vitoria vs Santos 0-1
Bahia vs Chapecoense 1-0
Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia 0-1
Corinthians vs Bahia 2-1
Bahia vs Atletico Paranaense 0-1
Botafogo vs Bahia 0-1
Vitória’s next game is at Sport Recife, on Wednesday. Same day, Bahia will be hosting Ceará (both Série A matches).
Vitoria vs Bahia: Head to head Stats
One win for Vitória, two for Bahia, and two draws, in the last five Salvador derbies with Vitória as hosts.
Vitoria vs Bahia: Prediction
Vitória are with their back against the wall, but that doesn’t change the fact that Bahia have a better team.
Vitoria vs Bahia: Betting Tips
Bahia’s win in “draw no bet” is at 1.80, with their double chance at just 1.44. It’s a local derby, I expect a lot of fouls, but I wouldn’t bet on “under 2.5 goals”. Bahia haven’t conceded in their last four visits to Barradão, but I wouldn’t bet on their clean sheet either. This game is so… special, because of Vitória’s crazy need to earn points, that… goals-wise, anything could happen. I seriously doubt Bahia will lose, though.