Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama
Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: 10 September 2018
Kick-off: 00:00 CET
Carpegiani, Vitória’s coach, admitted after their goalless draw at Fluminense midweek, that they played very poorly. At the end of the day though, they earned a point, away from home, against a team higher than them in the table, so… all good. Before that, they had back-to-back wins at home, over Atlético and América Mineiro. That’s three clean sheets in a row for Vitória, which feels… surreal, as they are the team that has conceded more goals (40, in 23 matches), than any other in the Série A. They are sitting 14th in the table, on 26 points. The club offered 3500 tickets of this match at just 10 reais, something over 2 euros, trying to attract as many fans as possible to the stadium.
There was bad news and good news at Vasco da Gama this past week. On Thursday, they lost 2-1 at América Mineiro, getting stuck to 24 points, right above the relegation line. On the other hand, they reached a deal with a new sponsor, who paid them a decent amount of money to meet some of their most urgent needs. Plus, their effort to get a bank loan seems to be moving forward. They feel they need 38 million reais (something less than 8 million euros) to stay on top until the end of the year. As for Alberto Valentim, their recently-appointed coach, he is adamant that the team will get a lot better very soon. They’d better, because they are incredibly close to the relegation zone, as in… one more negative result away from falling below it. They do have a game in hand, but no guarantee that they’ll earn any points there.
Previous five matches:
Fluminense vs Vitoria 0-0
Vitoria vs America Mineiro 1-0
Vitoria vs Atletico Mineiro 1-0
Flamengo vs Vitoria 1-0
Vitoria vs Palmeiras 0-3
America Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama 2-1
Vasco da Gama vs Santos 0-3
Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama 1-0
Vasco da Gama vs Chapecoense 3-1
Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama 0-0
Vitória’s next game is at Ceará, next weekend. Vasco will be facing Flamengo (both Série A matches).
Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama: Head to head Stats
Vasco beat Vitória in Salvador last season, but before that, the hosts had four wins in a row as hosts against the Rio de Janeiro side.
Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama: Prediction
Vitória have looked more than decent defensively in three games in a row now, not conceding, and even before that, Flamengo struggled to beat them 1-0 in Rio de Janeiro. I still don’t trust them to beat Vasco though. I’m backing the visitors to leave Salvador undefeated.
Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama: Betting Tips
Vasco’s double chance, at 1.72, is my main tip. “Under 2.5 goals” doesn’t pay more than 1.60, but it does feel very probable.