Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw
Competition: Polish Ekstraklasa
Date: 24 July 2017
Kick-off: 18:00 CET
Just as Korona Kielce should feel they deserved to have gotten something out of last weekend’s game against Zaglebie, so should the Lubin side feel lucky to have picked up all three points in a game that wasn’t really dominated by the hosts, but it was definitely Korona who had more and better chances to score. A penalty awarded to Zaglebie in the 70th minute produced the only goal of the match, which is kind of ironic, since it was a game with almost 35 shots on goal, and three posts (two for Korona, one for Zaglebie). Coach Piotr Stokowiec and his players saw an opportunity and they grabbed it, they definitely deserve credit for that, an awesome 1-0 start to build on, hosting a rather… problematic and vulnerable opponent like Slask Wroclaw.
‘What if Piech had scored in the 48th minute…’ This is what Slask could be thinking this last week, looking back at the only really clear chance they had to score at Arka Gdynia in the whole 90 minutes. Early in the second half, there was still no score, and if Slask had taken the lead, the rest of the game would have looked way different. Instead, the hosts scored in the 69th minute, and… that was pretty much it, Slask failed to threaten Arka, and Nalepa’s one-man-show goal in the 78th minute finished the game off for the hosts. Slask’s numbers were not bad last weekend, they had exactly the same ball possession as Arka, one shot on goal more than the hosts, decent pass accuracy, but, as they say, statistics are sometimes the easiest way to tell a lie. The truth is that Slask created only one really big chance to score, and once they were left behind, they looked mentally unable to fight back. On Wednesday, Slask signed 34-year-old striker Marcin Robak from Lech Poznan. Last season he had 18 goals in 37 Ekstraklasa appearances, both numbers very impressive (he didn’t miss a single game all season, no matter if 16 of those 37 appearances came as a substitute).
Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw: Head-to-head Stats
Two wins for Zaglebie and three draws in the last five games between these two in Lubin. Last time Slask won there, was in 2012 (and what a win it was, 5-1).
Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw: Prediction
Possibly the trickiest game of the day, of the whole weekend in Poland. Zaglebie were lucky to win and not concede at Korona last weekend. On the other hand, Slask were playing against the team that had just won the Super Cup beating Legia in Warsaw (even on penalties). Bottom line, the way I see it, Zaglebie is not a truly safe choice, despite being considered by betting companies rather clear favorites to win.
Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw: Tips
Taking a leap of faith, I’m backing Slask to avoid losing. I should clear out that my suggestion doesn’t come from… evaluating facts, but it’s purely a hunch, one that pays (‘draw or Slask’) 1.83.